| Overall | 15W 6L 1T |
| District | 8W 0L 0T |
| Expected | 15: 5+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
11 10 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1308 97 Strength Momentum |
1269 55.8(23) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | Roswell | 0.000 | 777 | W 6- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1232 | 93% |  |
| 08/21/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.000 | 1444 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 1288 | 32% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Cleveland | 0.000 | 1384 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1258 | 38% | |
| 08/28/15 | Onate ?? | 0.000 | 1183 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1184 | 66% | |
| 08/28/15 | Alamogordo | 0.000 | 1050 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1268 | 78% | |
| 08/29/15 | Mayfield !! | 0.000 | 1360 | W 5- 1 | Better (+4) | 1524 | 47% | |
| 09/04/15 | Carlsbad ? | 0.002 | 1258 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1221 | 58% | |
| 09/12/15 | Hobbs | 0.006 | 1280 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1433 | 55% | |
| 09/18/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.019 | 1463 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1374 | 35% | |
| 09/19/15 | at La Cueva | 0.012 | 1493 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 1108 | 28% | |
| 09/22/15 | Clovis | 0.034 | 1305 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1395 | 53% | |
| 09/24/15 | Mayfield ! | 0.042 | 1360 | W 4- 1 | Better (+3) | 1473 | 47% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Onate | 0.053 | 1183 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1358 | 61% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Deming | 0.099 | 1136 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1334 | 66% | |
| 10/03/15 | Lovington | 0.019 | 270 | W 10- 0 | Expected (0) | 1298 | 98% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Gadsden | 0.147 | 1030 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1331 | 76% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Mayfield | 0.248 | 1360 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1446 | 41% | |
| 10/15/15 | Onate | 0.382 | 1183 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1385 | 66% | |
| 10/22/15 | Gadsden | 0.587 | 1030 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1308 | 79% | |
| 10/24/15 | Deming | 0.733 | 1136 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1260 | 70% | |
| 10/31/15 | Sandia | 0.923 | 1340 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1362 | 49% | |
| 11/05/15 | * La Cueva | 0.872 | 1493 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1262 | 30% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Las Cruces actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1269, while
Las Cruces's "weighted playing strength" is 1321
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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